IOTA/IOTA-ES occultation update for (2) Pallas / TYC 5390-02209-1 event on 2023 Mar 05, 23:56 UT Visible from South America Summary ------- On 2023 Mar 05 UT, the 532 km diameter asteroid (2) Pallas will occult a 9.7 mag star in the constellation Canis Major for observers along a path across South America. In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 0.19 mag to 7.91 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 26.530 seconds. This update is based on, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center. This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA) mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, in particular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement. The event at a glimpse ---------------------- * Rank: 100 * date and approx. time of event: 2023 Mar 05, 23:50 - 2023 Mar 06, 00:01 * geocentric midpoint of event [JD]: 2460009.49752854 * magnitude of target star: 9.69 * magnitude drop [mag]: 0.19 * estimated maximum duration [s]: 26.530 * Moon: 98 % sunlit, 60° distance * Sun: 111° distance * rough path description: South America Additional comments ------------------- low mag drop The occultation path -------------------- * approximate projected width [km]: 542 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [path widths]: +/- 0.09 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [seconds]: +/- 1.4 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval approx RA,DE ["]: (+/- 0.044, +/- 0.016) * 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): (0.044", 0.016", 87°) * approx speed of asteroid's shadow [km/s]: 20.0555 * website for maps: http://www.asteroidoccultation.com Path Coordinates: Occultation of TYC 5390-02209-1 by 2 Pallas on 2023 Mar 5 Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits Alt E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4 Crn o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " Latitude Latitude Latitude Latitude - 83 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -62 44 54 .... - 82 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -62 47 57 .. .. .. -62 1 38 .... - 81 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -62 3 16 .. .. .. -61 15 56 .... - 80 0 0 -66 2 26 23 52 17.6 36 22 3 .. .. .. -61 16 3 .. .. .. -60 27 39 .... - 79 0 0 -65 19 11 23 52 20.4 37 21 3 -70 21 15 -60 26 6 -71 14 8 -59 36 36 0.19 - 78 0 0 -64 33 17 23 52 23.4 38 20 2 -69 42 56 -59 33 14 -70 37 11 -58 42 35 0.19 - 77 0 0 -63 44 31 23 52 26.6 39 19 2 -69 2 3 -58 37 16 -69 57 46 -57 45 26 0.19 - 76 0 0 -62 52 41 23 52 30.1 40 18 1 -68 18 26 -57 37 58 -69 15 39 -56 44 54 0.19 - 75 0 0 -61 57 34 23 52 33.9 41 17 0 -67 31 50 -56 35 8 -68 30 37 -55 40 48 0.19 - 74 0 0 -60 58 55 23 52 37.9 42 16 0 -66 42 0 -55 28 31 -67 42 25 -54 32 54 0.19 - 73 0 0 -59 56 28 23 52 42.3 43 15 -1 -65 48 40 -54 17 54 -66 50 47 -53 20 56 0.19 - 72 0 0 -58 49 57 23 52 47.1 44 14 -2 -64 51 33 -53 3 0 -65 55 24 -52 4 41 0.19 - 71 0 0 -57 39 5 23 52 52.3 45 13 -3 -63 50 19 -51 43 35 -64 55 59 -50 43 53 0.19 - 70 0 0 -56 23 34 23 52 57.8 47 12 -4 -62 44 39 -50 19 24 -63 52 11 -49 18 17 0.19 - 69 0 0 -55 3 7 23 53 3.9 48 10 -4 -61 34 13 -48 50 12 -62 43 37 -47 47 40 0.19 - 68 0 0 -53 37 26 23 53 10.5 50 9 -5 -60 18 37 -47 15 43 -61 29 57 -46 11 47 0.19 - 67 0 0 -52 6 12 23 53 17.7 51 8 -7 -58 57 31 -45 35 45 -60 10 47 -44 30 25 0.19 - 66 0 0 -50 29 9 23 53 25.4 53 7 -8 -57 30 31 -43 50 7 -58 45 43 -42 43 24 0.19 - 65 0 0 -48 46 2 23 53 33.8 55 5 -9 -55 57 15 -41 58 38 -57 14 21 -40 50 36 0.19 - 64 0 0 -46 56 38 23 53 42.9 56 3 -10 -54 17 24 -40 1 14 -55 36 20 -38 51 56 0.19 - 63 0 0 -45 0 47 23 53 52.7 58 2 -11 -52 30 36 -37 57 52 -53 51 20 -36 47 23 0.19 - 62 0 0 -42 58 24 23 54 3.3 60 360 -13 -50 36 39 -35 48 34 -51 59 2 -34 37 1 0.19 - 61 0 0 -40 49 29 23 54 14.7 63 357 -14 -48 35 21 -33 33 29 -49 59 15 -32 20 59 0.19 - 60 0 0 -38 34 8 23 54 26.8 65 355 -16 -46 26 37 -31 12 52 -47 51 51 -29 59 34 0.19 - 59 0 0 -36 12 34 23 54 39.7 67 352 -18 -44 10 31 -28 47 5 -45 36 51 -27 33 9 0.19 - 58 0 0 -33 45 8 23 54 53.3 69 348 -19 -41 47 14 -26 16 35 -43 14 25 -25 2 13 0.19 - 57 0 0 -31 12 21 23 55 7.7 72 343 -21 -39 17 6 -23 41 59 -40 44 52 -22 27 22 0.19 - 56 0 0 -28 34 49 23 55 22.6 74 337 -23 -36 40 40 -21 3 57 -38 8 41 -19 49 18 0.19 - 55 0 0 -25 53 18 23 55 38.2 76 329 -25 -33 58 36 -18 23 17 -35 26 34 -17 8 49 0.19 - 54 0 0 -23 8 38 23 55 54.1 77 318 -27 -31 11 46 -15 40 50 -32 39 20 -14 26 45 0.20 - 53 0 0 -20 21 46 23 56 10.4 78 305 -28 -28 21 7 -12 57 27 -29 47 59 -11 43 58 0.20 - 52 0 0 -17 33 39 23 56 26.8 79 290 -30 -25 27 44 -10 14 4 -26 53 36 - 9 1 21 0.20 - 51 0 0 -14 45 16 23 56 43.3 78 275 -32 -22 32 43 - 7 31 30 -23 57 19 - 6 19 44 0.20 - 50 0 0 -11 57 36 23 56 59.7 77 262 -34 -19 37 13 - 4 50 36 -21 0 19 - 3 39 56 0.20 - 49 0 0 - 9 11 31 23 57 15.9 76 251 -36 -16 42 18 - 2 12 6 -18 3 42 - 1 2 39 0.20 - 48 0 0 - 6 27 51 23 57 31.8 74 243 -37 -13 49 1 0 23 21 -15 8 32 1 31 29 0.20 - 47 0 0 - 3 47 18 23 57 47.2 71 238 -39 -10 58 14 2 55 11 -12 15 48 4 1 56 0.20 - 46 0 0 - 1 10 28 23 58 2.1 69 233 -40 - 8 10 47 5 22 57 - 9 26 17 6 28 16 0.21 - 45 0 0 1 22 9 23 58 16.5 67 230 -42 - 5 27 18 7 46 18 - 6 40 43 8 50 8 0.21 - 44 0 0 3 50 10 23 58 30.2 64 228 -43 - 2 48 20 10 4 57 - 3 59 39 11 7 18 0.21 - 43 0 0 6 13 19 23 58 43.3 62 226 -44 - 0 14 17 12 18 45 - 1 23 31 13 19 36 0.21 - 42 0 0 8 31 25 23 58 55.7 60 224 -45 2 14 35 14 27 34 1 7 24 15 26 57 0.21 - 41 0 0 10 44 21 23 59 7.4 57 223 -46 4 38 4 16 31 24 3 32 53 17 29 19 0.21 - 40 0 0 12 52 5 23 59 18.4 55 222 -47 6 56 4 18 30 14 5 52 50 19 26 43 0.21 - 39 0 0 14 54 39 23 59 28.8 53 222 -48 9 8 34 20 24 8 8 7 13 21 19 14 0.21 - 38 0 0 16 52 7 23 59 38.5 51 221 -48 11 15 37 22 13 12 10 16 3 23 6 57 0.21 - 37 0 0 18 44 35 23 59 47.5 49 221 -49 13 17 17 23 57 33 12 19 27 24 50 0 0.21 - 36 0 0 20 32 10 23 59 56.0 47 221 -50 15 13 43 25 37 20 14 17 32 26 28 32 0.22 - 35 0 0 22 15 2 0 0 3.9 + 45 221 -50 17 5 2 27 12 42 16 10 25 28 2 41 0.22 - 34 0 0 23 53 21 0 0 11.3 + 43 221 -50 18 51 25 28 43 49 17 58 18 29 32 38 0.22 - 33 0 0 25 27 17 0 0 18.1 + 41 221 -51 20 33 3 30 10 50 19 41 21 30 58 32 0.22 - 32 0 0 26 57 0 0 0 24.5 + 39 221 -51 22 10 7 31 33 57 21 19 46 32 20 35 0.22 - 31 0 0 28 22 42 0 0 30.4 + 38 222 -51 23 42 49 32 53 20 22 53 45 33 38 55 0.22 - 30 0 0 29 44 33 0 0 35.9 + 36 222 -51 25 11 19 34 9 8 24 23 28 34 53 44 0.22 - 29 0 0 31 2 43 0 0 41.0 + 34 222 -51 26 35 50 35 21 32 25 49 9 36 5 11 0.22 - 28 0 0 32 17 23 0 0 45.8 + 33 223 -51 27 56 32 36 30 40 27 10 57 37 13 26 0.22 - 27 0 0 33 28 42 0 0 50.2 + 32 223 -51 29 13 37 37 36 44 28 29 4 38 18 37 0.22 - 26 0 0 34 36 51 0 0 54.3 + 30 224 -51 30 27 14 38 39 50 29 43 41 39 20 54 0.22 - 25 0 0 35 41 58 0 0 58.0 + 29 224 -51 31 37 34 39 40 8 30 54 57 40 20 25 0.22 - 24 0 0 36 44 12 0 1 1.5 + 27 225 -51 32 44 46 40 37 47 32 3 3 41 17 17 0.22 - 23 0 0 37 43 42 0 1 4.8 + 26 225 -51 33 48 59 41 32 52 33 8 8 42 11 40 0.22 - 22 0 0 38 40 35 0 1 7.8 + 25 226 -50 34 50 23 42 25 33 34 10 20 43 3 39 0.22 - 21 0 0 39 34 58 0 1 10.6 + 24 226 -50 35 49 4 43 15 57 35 9 48 43 53 22 0.22 - 20 0 0 40 27 0 0 1 13.1 + 23 227 -50 36 45 12 44 4 8 36 6 40 44 40 56 0.22 - 19 0 0 41 16 47 0 1 15.5 + 21 228 -50 37 38 53 44 50 15 37 1 3 45 26 26 0.22 - 18 0 0 42 4 24 0 1 17.7 + 20 228 -50 38 30 15 45 34 22 37 53 5 46 9 58 0.22 - 17 0 0 42 49 59 0 1 19.7 + 19 229 -49 39 19 24 46 16 36 38 42 52 46 51 39 0.22 - 16 0 0 43 33 37 0 1 21.6 + 18 230 -49 40 6 25 46 57 1 39 30 30 47 31 32 0.22 - 15 0 0 44 15 23 0 1 23.3 + 17 230 -49 40 51 26 47 35 42 40 16 5 48 9 43 0.22 - 14 0 0 44 55 22 0 1 24.9 + 16 231 -48 41 34 32 48 12 45 40 59 44 48 46 16 0.22 - 13 0 0 45 33 39 0 1 26.4 + 15 232 -48 42 15 47 48 48 14 41 41 30 49 21 17 0.22 - 12 0 0 46 10 19 0 1 27.7 + 14 232 -48 42 55 16 49 22 12 42 21 30 49 54 48 0.22 - 11 0 0 46 45 25 0 1 28.9 + 13 233 -48 43 33 5 49 54 44 42 59 48 50 26 54 0.22 - 10 0 0 47 19 2 0 1 30.1 + 13 234 -47 44 9 18 50 25 54 43 36 28 50 57 39 0.22 - 9 0 0 47 51 14 0 1 31.1 + 12 235 -47 44 43 58 50 55 44 44 11 34 51 27 5 0.22 - 8 0 0 48 22 4 0 1 32.0 + 11 235 -47 45 17 9 51 24 18 44 45 11 51 55 17 0.22 - 7 0 0 48 51 35 0 1 32.9 + 10 236 -46 45 48 56 51 51 39 45 17 21 52 22 17 0.22 - 6 0 0 49 19 50 0 1 33.6 + 9 237 -46 46 19 22 52 17 51 45 48 10 52 48 8 0.23 - 5 0 0 49 46 53 0 1 34.3 + 8 238 -46 46 48 29 52 42 55 46 17 39 53 12 52 0.23 - 4 0 0 50 12 47 0 1 34.9 + 8 238 -45 47 16 21 53 6 55 46 45 51 53 36 33 0.23 - 3 0 0 50 37 33 0 1 35.5 + 7 239 -45 47 43 0 53 29 53 47 12 51 53 59 12 0.23 - 2 0 0 51 1 15 0 1 35.9 + 6 240 -45 48 8 30 53 51 51 47 38 40 54 20 53 0.23 - 1 0 0 51 23 54 0 1 36.4 + 5 241 -44 48 32 53 54 12 51 48 3 21 54 41 36 0.24 0 0 0 51 45 34 0 1 36.7 + 5 241 -44 48 56 11 54 32 55 48 26 56 55 1 25 0.24 1 0 0 52 6 15 0 1 37.0 + 4 242 -44 49 18 26 54 52 6 48 49 28 55 20 20 0.24 2 0 0 52 26 0 0 1 37.3 + 3 243 -43 49 39 41 55 10 25 49 10 59 55 38 24 0.25 3 0 0 52 44 51 0 1 37.5 + 3 244 -43 49 59 58 55 27 53 49 31 31 55 55 39 0.26 4 0 0 53 2 50 0 1 37.6 + 2 245 -43 50 19 18 55 44 33 49 51 5 56 12 6 0.28 5 0 0 53 19 58 0 1 37.7 + 1 245 -43 50 37 43 56 0 26 50 9 44 .. .. .. 0.32 6 0 0 53 36 16 0 1 37.8 + 1 246 -42 50 55 16 .. .. .. 50 27 29 .. .. .. 0.43 7 0 0 53 51 47 0 1 37.8 + 0 247 -42 51 11 57 .. .. .. 50 44 22 .. .. .. 147.90 8 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. 51 27 47 .. .. .. 51 0 25 .. .. .. .... Uncertainty in time = +/- 2 secs Prediction of 2023 Feb 15.9 Data for the target star ------------------------ * name: TYC 5390-02209-1 * constellation : Canis Major * BCRS position with proper motion to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 06 38 18.8950 DE: -13 24 49.617 * GCRS Astrometric position with proper motion and parallax to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 06 38 18.8948 DE: -13 24 49.618 * position source: Gaia DR3 * standard error: RA,DE [mas]: (0.100,0.100) * V mag [mag]: 9.7 * Diameter [mas]: 0.00 * remarks: Data for the minor planet ------------------------- * general information: (number) name: (2) Pallas asteroid class: ShapeModel approx. diameter [km]: 532 approx. diameter ["]: 0.470 distance from Earth [AU]: 1.56210 asteroid position offset in RA [mas]: 0 asteroid position offset in DE [mas]: 0 * orbital information: orbit source: JPL#56 date of fit: 2023 Feb 07 source of used astrometry: MPC, JPL number of used observations: 0 number of rejected observations: 0 time covered by the observations: 1800 Jan 01 - 1800 Jan 01 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): 0.044", 0.016", 87.102° remarks: * orbital elements for (2)Pallas : Mean anomaly = 359.7730735222 deg Arg. of pericenter = 310.8652428308 deg Long. of node = 172.9182145576 deg Inclination = 34.9269927019 deg Eccentricity = 0.2300935087 Semimajor axis = 2.7696644064 AU Perihelion dist = 2.1323826052 AU Mag: H = 4.12, G = 0.11 Epoch of elements : MJD 60008.99750000 TDT (2023 Mar 05.9975) ------ occelmnt file for Occult BEGIN ----------------------------------- JPL#562023Feb07,26.53,2023,3,5,23.940685,0.177214,-0.074829,4.413692,10.423939,0.005001,0.001042,0.000000,-0.000001 -62.7327,-13.4365,-176.26,-5.85,False TYC 5390-02209-1,6.63858197,-13.4137825,0.00,9.69,0.00,0.0,0,,6.65637235,-13.4364548,0.19,0.00,0,0,0 2,Pallas,7.91,532.0,1.5621,0,0,1.704,58.68,,28.2,0 0,359.5598,2023,3,5,310.8652,172.9182,34.9270,0.23009,2.76966,2.13238,4.12,5.0,0.15 1.086,0.0440,0.0160,87,0.0402,Known errors,-1.00,-1,-1,-1 20230305_2209-1,59990.86 ------ occelmnt file for Occult END ----------------------------------- ============================================ Calculator (s): Steve Preston Date of update: 2023 Feb 15, 20:44 UT Steve Preston 7640 NE 32nd St Medina, WA 98039 stevepr@acm.org